On modelling 2006, 2007 Simushir tsunamis in the Central Kuril region
Abstract
The subject of this study is to estimate how the quality of bottom bathymetry data effects on the capability of the numerical models to adequately reproduce the distribution of the maximum heights of tsunami waves along the coast. Numerical experiments have been carried out for the Simushir tsunamis of November 15, 2006 and January 13, 2007 in the Central Kuril region. It is shown that widely used bathymetry data bases, such as GEBCO, do not provide the required accuracy and resolution of digital bathymetry charts. Here we have used various data sources, including GEBCO in the deep ocean region and data from the GUNIO on the shelf and in the shallow waters. It is shown that the calculations performed for grids with a resolution of 30 arc seconds provide only a qualitative estimate of the distribution of tsunami heights along the coast. At the same time, a quantitative coincidence of the simulation results and the observational data can be obtained only for grids with a spatial resolution of 10 arc seconds or better. The maximum tsunami heights were observed along the coast of Isle Matua, which is confirmed by the model calculations. Detailed studies have shown that the extreme tsunami heights and current velocities are observed in the Dvoynaia Bay (Matua Island) and are associated with the occurrence of eigenmodes oscillations in the bay.
About the Authors
A. A. Ivanova
P. P. Shirshov Institute of Oceanology, RAS
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Moscow
E. A. Kulikov
P. P. Shirshov Institute of Oceanology, RAS
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Moscow
I. V. Fain
Institute of Ocean Sciences
Canada
Canada
Sidney, BC
References
1. Kowalik Z., Horillo J., Knight W., Logan T. The Kuril Islands tsunami of November 2006: Part I: Impact at Crescent City by distant scattering. J. Geophys. Res. 2008, 113, C01020.
2. Uslu B., Borrero J. C., Dengler L. A., Synolakis C. E. Tsunami inundation at Crescent City, California generated by earthquakes along the Cascadia Subduction Zone. Geophys. Res. Lett. 2007, 34, L20601.
3. Laverov N. P., Lappo S. S., Lobkovskiy L. I., Kulikov E. A. The strongest underwater earthquakes and catastrophic tsunami. Analysis, modeling, forecast. Fundamental studies of the oceans and seas. Moscow, Nauka. 2006, 1, 191—209 (in Russian).
4. Laverov N. P., Lappo S. S., Lobkovsky L. I., Baranov B. V., Kulinich R. G., Karp B. Ya. The Сentral Kuril «gap»: Structure and seismic potential. Doklady Earth Sciences. 2006, 409, 5, 787—790.
5. Lobkovskiy L. I. A catastrophic earthquake and tsunami on 26.12.2004 in the northern part of the Sunda island arc: geodynamic analysis and analogy with the Central Kurils. Vestnik RAEN. 2005, 2, 53—61 (in Russian).
6. Lobkovsky L. I., Mazova R. Kh., Kataeva L. Yu., Baranov B. V. Generation and Propagation of Tsunami Wave in the Okhotsk Sea Basin. Possible Scenarios. Doklady Earth Sciences. 2006, 410, 4, 528—531 (in Russian).
7. Lobkovsky L., Kulikov E. Analysis of hypothetical strong earthquake and tsunami in the Central Kuril Arc. Geophys. Res. Abstracts. 2006, 8, 04138.
8. Global CMT Web Page. URL: http://www.globalcmt.org (Accessed: 11.03.2017).
9. Fujii Y., Satake K. Tsunami sources of November 2006 and January 2007 Great Kuril earthquakes. Bull. Seism. Soc. Amer. 2008, 98, 3, 1559—1571.
10. Rabinovich A. B., Lobkovsky L. I., Fine I. V., Thomson R. E., Ivelskaya T. N., Kulikov E. A. Near-source observations and modeling of the Kuril Islands tsunamis of 15 November 2006 and 13 January 2007. Advances in Geosciences. 2008, 14, 105—116.
11. Tanioka Y., Hasegawa Y., Kuwayama T. Tsunami waveform analyses of the 2006 underthrust and 2007 outer-rise Kurile earthquakes. Advances in Geosciences. 2008, 14, 129—134.
12. Levin B. W., Kaistrenko V. M., Rybin A. V., Nosov M. A., Kolesov S. V., Pinegina T. K., Kravchunovskaya E. A., Razzhigaeva N. G., Ganzei K. S., Sasorova E. V., Evdokimov Yu. V., Ivel'skaya T. N., Bourgeois J., MacInnes B., Fitzhugh B. Manifestations of the tsunami on November 15, 2006, on the central Kuril Islands and results of the runup heights modeling. Doklady Earth Sciences. 2008, 419, 1, 335—338.
13. MacInnes B. T., Pinegina T. K., Bourgeois J., Razhigaeva N. G., Kaistrenko V. M., Kravchunovskaya E. A. Field survey and geological effects of the 15 November 2006 Kuril tsunami in the middle Kuril Islands. Tsunami Science Four Years after the 2004 Indian Ocean Tsunami. 2009, 9—36.
14. Imamura F. Review of tsunami simulation with a finite difference method. Long-wave runup models. 1995, 25—42.
15. Titov V. V., Gonzalez F. I. Implementation and testing of the method of splitting tsunami (MOST) model. US Department of Commerce, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Environmental Research Laboratories, Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory. 1997, 1—11.
16. Kurkin A. A., Zajcev A. I., YAlchiner A., Pelinovskij E. N. Modified computing complex «TSUNAMI» for the assessment of tsunami-related risks. Izvestiya AIN im. AM Prohorova. Prikladnaya matematika i mekhanika. 2004, 9, 88—100 (in Russian).
17. Lobkovsky L. I., Rabinovich A. B., Kulikov E. A., Ivashchenko A. I., Fine I. V., Thomson R. E., Ivelskaya T. N., Bogdanov G. S. The Kuril Earthquakes and tsunamis of November 15, 2006, and January 13, 2007: Observations, analysis, and numerical modeling. Oceanology. 2009, 49, 2, 166—181.
18. Kulikov E. A., Yakovenko O. I., Fine I. V. Numerical modeling of the long surface waves scattering for the 2011 Japan tsunami: Case study. Izvestiya. Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics. 2014, 50, 5, 498—507.
19. Centenary Edition of the GEBCO Digital Atlas, published on CD—ROM on behalf of the Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission and the International Hydrographic Organization as part of the General Bathymetric Chart of the Oceans; British Oceanographic Data Centre, Liverpool, UK, 2003. URL: http://www.gebco.net/data_and_products/gridded_bathymetry_data/gebco_one_minute_grid (Accessed: 12.11.2016).
20. Ji C. Rupture process of the 2006 November 15 Magnitude 8.3 Kuril Island Earthquake. URL: http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/eqinthenews/2006/usvcam/finite_fault.php (Accessed: 12.11.2016).
21. Ji C. Rupture process of the 2007 January 13 Magnitude 8.1Kuril Island Earthquake. URL: http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/eqinthenews/2007/us2007xmae/finite_fault.php (Accessed: 12.11.2016).
22. Fine I. V., Kulikov E. A. Calculation of sea surface displacements in a tsunami source area сaused by instantaneous vertical deformation of the seabed due to an underwater earthquake. Journal Vychislitel'nye Tekhnologii. 2011, 16, 2, 111—118 (in Russian).
23. Amante C., Eakins B. W. ETOPO1 - 1 Arc-Minute Global Relief Model: Procedures, Data Sources and Analysis. NOAA Technical Memorandum NESDIS NGDC-24. 2009, 19.
24. GEBCO 30 arc—second grid. British Oceanographic Data Center. The GEBCO_2014 Grid. URL: https://www.bodc.ac.uk/data/documents/nodb/301801/ (Accessed: 12.11.2016).
25. Kulikov E. A., Gusiakov V. K., Ivanova A. A., Baranov B. V. Numerical Tsunami Modeling and the Bottom Relief. Moscow University Physics Bulletin. 2016, 71, 6, 527—536.
26. Catalog of maps and books of State Administration of Navigation and Oceanography (GUNIO). Pacific Ocean. № 7407. URL: http://www.morkniga.ru/p803748.html (Accessed: 11.11.2016).
27. Pelinovsky E. N., Mazova R. K. Exact analytical solutions of nonlinear problems of tsunami wave run—up on slopes with different profiles. Natural Hazards. 1992, 6, 3, 227—249.
28. Carrier G. F., Greenspan H. P. Water waves of finite amplitude on a sloping beach. Journal of Fluid Mechanics. 1958, 4, 01, 97—109.
29. Kaistrenko V. M. Exact solutions for wave run—up description on a sloping beach. Proc. of international scientific conference «Izbrannye voprosy sovremennoj matematiki». Kaliningrad, 2005, 83—86.
30. Lynett P. J. et al. Observations and modeling of tsunami—induced currents in ports and harbors. Earth and Planetary Science Letters. 2012, 327, 68—74.
Review
For citations:
Ivanova A.A., Kulikov E.A., Fain I.V. On modelling 2006, 2007 Simushir tsunamis in the Central Kuril region. Fundamental and Applied Hydrophysics. 2017;10(3):56—64. (In Russ.)
Views:
123
Email this article 