hydrophysicsФундаментальная и прикладная гидрофизикаFundamental and Applied Hydrophysics2073-66732782-5221St. Petersburg Research Center of the Russian Academy of Sciences10.7868/S2073667319020059hydrophysics-51Research ArticleГИДРОФИЗИЧЕСКИЕ И БИОГЕОХИМИЧЕСКИЕ ПОЛЯ И ПРОЦЕССЫHYDROPHYSICAL AND BIOGEOCHEMICAL FIELDS AND PROCESSESОценка ресурсов волновой энергии Балтийского моря и прибрежной зоны Калининградской областиWave energy resources of the Baltic Sea and coastal zone of the Kaliningrad RegionМысленковС. А.MyslenkovS. A.

Москва

Moscow

stasocean@gmail.comМедведеваА. Ю.MedvedevaA. Yu.

Москва

Moscow

Московский государственный университет имени М.В. Ломоносова; Институт океанологии им. П.П. Ширшова РАН; Гидрометеорологический научно-исследовательский центр Российской ФедерацииРоссияLomonosov Moscow State University; Shirshov Institute of Oceanology of Russian Academy of Sciences; Hydrometeorological Research Center of the Russian FederationRussian FederationИнститут океанологии им. П.П. Ширшова РАНРоссияShirshov Institute of Oceanology of Russian Academy of SciencesRussian Federation2019291120211223442Copyright © Мысленков С.А., Медведева А.Ю., 20212021Мысленков С.А., Медведева А.Ю.Myslenkov S.A., Medvedeva A.Y.Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.https://hydrophysics.spbrc.ru/jour/article/view/51

Перевод на англ. яз.: Е.С. Кочеткова, 2019

На основе данных ретроспективных расчетов параметров ветрового волнения проведена оценка ресурсов энергии ветровых волн в Балтийском море. Расчеты параметров волнения выполнены с помощью спектральной модели SWAN и данных о ветре из реанализа NCEP/CFSR (CFS2) 1979–2015 гг. Расчеты проводились на прямоугольной сетке 0.05°. Были получены карты распределения среднемноголетней мощности энергии ветровых волн на метр фронта волны за период 1979–2015 гг. Ее максимальные значения достигают 6–6.5 кВт/м и расположены в центральной и юго-восточной частях Балтийского моря, для прибрежной зоны Калининградской области они составляют 3–4 кВт/м. Произведен анализ сезонной и межгодовой изменчивости мощности волновой энергии для двух точек, расположенных в открытом море и в прибрежной зоне юговосточной Балтики. Наибольшие показатели приурочены к осенне-зимнему периоду, наименьшие – к весеннелетнему. Рассчитаны показатели среднемноголетней обеспеченности волновой энергии для нескольких пороговых критериев. Так, обеспеченность волновой энергии с пороговым значением 1 кВт/м для центральной части моря составляет 55–60%.

Translated by E.S. Kochetkova

Based on the data of numerical simulations of the wind wave parameters, the wave energy resources of the Baltic Sea were estimated. Calculations of the wave parameters were performed using the SWAN spectral model and the wind data of NCEP/CFSR (CFS2) reanalysis from 1979 to 2015. The simulations were realised using a rectangular grid with a spatial resolution of 0.05°. The maps of the average annual wave energy flux for the period 1979–2015 were plotted. The maximum values of which reach 6–6.5 kW/m and appear in the Baltic Proper and in the South-Eastern Baltic. For the Kaliningrad Region, the wave energy flux is 3–4 kW/m. The analysis of the seasonal and interannual variability of the wave energy flux for two points located in the open sea and in the coastal zone of the South-Eastern Baltic was carried out. Seasonal variability of the wave energy flux is very high: the energy flux in the winter months is several times greater than in the summer period. The average long-term probability of exceedance of the wave energy for several thresholds was calculated. The probability of exceedance of the wave energy with a threshold 1 kW/m in the Baltic Proper is 55–60%.

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The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.